Short Term Trading forex trading links forex trading books market statistics trader values euro and us dollar Shocks Crashing ProfitsOn: 2013

Saturday, 21 December 2013

US Unemployment Rate: Will It Bottom Out in 2014?

us dollar, technical analysis
After the Fed’s decision to start tapering of its asset purchases in January 2014, the U.S. dollar could increase its value against other major currencies.  The study of cycles appears to anticipate the unemployment rate bottoming in 2014 or 2015 at the latest.

Sunday, 24 November 2013

The US Dollar Could Decline Further

During the past weeks, the Federal Reserve has confirmed that employment must improve before changing current monetary policy. Under these conditions, the US dollar should depreciate further and the EUR/USD could challenge 1.38 over the short term.

Friday, 25 October 2013

US Dollar: Rising in November?

Expectations are mounting over the Fed reducing its Treasury program in December, which could cause the US dollar index to appreciate to 81.60 in the short term. Nonetheless, the Fed should keep its monetary policies unchanged until 2014. As a result, any potential dollar appreciation would be short-lived. 

Friday, 4 October 2013

U.S. Stocks: Short-Term Rebound?

The standoff between Republicans and Democrats over “Obamacare” is currently unfolding. However, the real test will occur on October 17, when a decision on whether to raise the debt ceiling will need to be made. In the meantime, U.S. stocks are “oversold” at current levels and could rebound to 1700/1720 in the short term.

Sunday, 15 September 2013

Federal Reserve: Tampering Now or Tampering Later?

Five years since the deterioration of the financial crisis, the Federal Reserve is close to modifying its policy.  Will it do so in September or in December?

Monday, 2 September 2013

Short-term trading: -- Crude oil Dec. futures contract

crude oil, short term trading, technical analysis

There is a divergence between the daily price and the RSI indicator. Accordingly to the Commitment of Traders report, most futures funds are long this market. A move below 99.80 could target 99.20 provide the price does not rise above 102.

The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed, neither the information presented nor any opinion expressed constitute a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any forex, futures or commodity product. Those individuals acting on this information are responsible for their own actions. Forex, futures and commodity trading may not be suitable for all recipients of this report. The risk of loss in trading forex, futures and options can be substantial. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. All recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Please Note: All performance figures and illustrations were obtained using historical back testing on a computer and are not the results of an actual account. No guarantee is inferred that future performance will be like the results shown. Futures, forex and options trading involve risk. There is a risk of loss in futures, forex and options trading.

Sunday, 11 August 2013

US Stocks: Will September Trigger A Correction?



us stocks, sp 500 index, futures contract Historically, September is the worst month for stocks and the S&P 500 Index could correct to 1660/1640. For now, however, the longer term prospective stays positive in the US. 

Friday, 2 August 2013

Short-term trading: --DXU3


There is a divergence between the price and the RSI indicator on the weekly and daily chart. The US dollar tends to be weak in August. Over the short-term, the US dollar index could decline to 80.50 and eventually to 78.00

The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed, neither the information presented nor any opinion expressed constitute a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any forex, futures or commodity product. Those individuals acting on this information are responsible for their own actions. Forex, futures and commodity trading may not be suitable for all recipients of this report. The risk of loss in trading forex, futures and options can be substantial. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. All recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results

Tuesday, 23 July 2013

Short-term trading: ++HGU3

COPPER, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, FUTURES

There is a divergence between the price and the RSI indicator. Copper tends to be strong in August. A move above 325 could target 328 provide the price does not fall to 315.  

The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed, neither the information presented nor any opinion expressed constitute a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any forex, futures or commodity product. Those individuals acting on this information are responsible for their own actions. Forex, futures and commodity trading may not be suitable for all recipients of this report. The risk of loss in trading forex, futures and options can be substantial. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. All recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Sunday, 14 July 2013

USD/JPY: Is The Decline of the Japanese Yen Over?

japanese yen vs us dollar The decline of the yen might be close to an end, according to past trend history. The hypothetical recovery will take time, since yen fundamentals remain weak. 

Monday, 8 July 2013

US Bond Yields: Are They Targeting 4%?

bond yields, t-notes futures, The eurozone remains under pressure, and the euro currency could soon test the lower Bollinger Band at 1.2740. On the contrary, in the US, economic numbers are positive, bond yields are increasing and the US dollar is supported, for now.

Monday, 24 June 2013

Stocks: On the Brink of Decline

The Federal Reserve has said that it may begin phasing out quantitative easing this year. Markets are not ready for a new monetary policy yet, and stocks should correct throughout the summer.

Monday, 10 June 2013

US Unemployment

Bureau of Labor Statistics
The US unemployment rate could decline further over the short-term. However, over the past 60 years, it has climbed in three distinct waves before collapsing each time.

Tuesday, 4 June 2013

Short-term trading: --DXM3

us dollar index, us dollar short term trading, us dollar trend

There is a divergence between the price and the RSI indicator. The US dollar tends to top in June and bottom at the end of the year. A move below 81.10 can take the price to 80.70 provide it does not rebound above 81.50.

The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed, neither the information presented nor any opinion expressed constitute a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any forex, futures or commodity product. Those individuals acting on this information are responsible for their own actions. Forex, futures and commodity trading may not be suitable for all recipients of this report. The risk of loss in trading forex, futures and options can be substantial. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. All recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Friday, 31 May 2013

EUR/USD: The Decline Might Be Over

In the coming months, EURUSD could rebound to 1.32 and eventually to 1.37, if the level of 1.3270 is overcome.

Saturday, 11 May 2013

EUR/USD: Is it Just Correcting Lower?

eurusd, euro currency, us dollar, technical analysisThe United States grew 2.5% in the first quarter of 2013, while the Eurozone fell into recessionary levels. Fundamental and seasonal factors seem to anticipate a decline of the EUR/USD to 1.2750 over the short-term.

Friday, 19 April 2013

S&P 500 Index: Will It Correct to 1,500?

Last week, gold lost 15% from its recent peak. The mild inflationary picture and a tepid global economic recovery should contract US stock trends and support the US dollar for a few more months.

Sunday, 7 April 2013

US Economy: Consolidation Or Slowdown?

In the US, economic data has been mixed lately. Employment numbers have surprised on the downside, while growth has contracted in some sectors.

Saturday, 30 March 2013

Cyprus Is Safe. What Can Happen Next?

Cyprus might be safe, but faith in the Eurozone is decreasing. In the United States, the economic momentum remains and stocks are testing all-time highs.

Friday, 22 March 2013

The Euro Zone is Under Pressure Again


Last week, the Fed kept the monetary policy unchanged, but might reduce quantitative easing 3 (QE3) sometimes this year. In reality, investors are focusing on Cyprus, where another chapter of the euro zone history is unfolding. EURUS is leaning on key support lines. A rebound to 1.31/1.32 is possible short term.

Sunday, 17 March 2013

Stocks: Boom or Bust?

The S&P 500 index is quickly approaching its key resistance line at approximately 1600. This line corresponds to the index’s high from the last 13 years, and its resistance was tested with no success in both 2000 and 2008. Will this time be different for stocks?

Friday, 8 March 2013

Eurozone: The Portuguese Rating Is Improving

The Italian rating has again been downgraded; however, Portugal and Ireland are moving out of the woods. The Eurozone stays under pressure in the short-term but the euro is likely to test the high against the dollar by the end of 2013.

Friday, 1 March 2013

S&P 500 Index: Stocks Could Correct

The Italian elections had virtually no winners, while in the US sequestration is now a reality. Incertitude should continue for the short term, and the S&P 500 index could correct to 1440, and eventually 1400.

Wednesday, 27 February 2013

Short-term trading: Is USD/JPY Topping?

japanese yen, usdjpy

A decline of the Japanese yen to 89.00 is possible short-term against the US dollar. The Japanese yen is leaning against the higher Bollinger bands. There is a divergence between the price and the RSI indicator on the daily and weekly charts. Accordingly to the Commitment of Trader report (COT), then, futures funds have accumulated almost 120,000 contracts of USD/JPY. It represents the highest level in more than five years.
 
The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed, neither the information presented nor any opinion expressed constitute a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any forex, futures or commodity product. Those individuals acting on this information are responsible for their own actions. Forex, futures and commodity trading may not be suitable for all recipients of this report. The risk of loss in trading forex, futures and options can be substantial. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment.

Friday, 22 February 2013

US Treasury: Yields Can Rise Further

 A moderate optimism is taking hold in the US, despite a few challenges at home and abroad.  US 10-year Treasury yields may reach 2.50% this year, while the US Dollar Index can decline to 77.00 on the futures contract.

Tuesday, 12 February 2013

Precious Metals: Platinum is overbought and could decline

platinum, precious metals, futures trading
 
A decline of platinum to 1640/1600 is possible short-term. The precious metal is leaning against the resistance line of the past twelve years. There is a divergence between the price of platinum and the RSI indicator on the daily and weekly charts. Accordingly to the Commitment of Traders report (COT),  futures funds have accumulated almost 55,000 contracts of the precious metal. It represents the highest level ever recorded. At the contrary, short platinum positions are at the lowest level.

The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed, neither the information presented nor any opinion expressed constitute a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any forex, futures or commodity product. Those individuals acting on this information are responsible for their own actions. Forex, futures and commodity trading may not be suitable for all recipients of this report. The risk of loss in trading forex, futures and options can be substantial. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. All recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Friday, 8 February 2013

Is the EUR/USD Correcting to 1.3280 or to 1.3130?

 
The Federal Reserve is providing more liquidity to the economic system, while European banks are already returning money to the ECB. The EUR/USD could reach 1.3280 in the short-term, but it should target 1.38/1.42 by the end of this year.

Saturday, 2 February 2013

EUR/USD Targets Key Resistance Line


Germany is pulling again and Europe will soon leave recession behind, while the US economy should continue to grow moderately. The EUR/USD exchange rate is reaching the important resistance line of 1.3820; the next target is 1.44.

Saturday, 26 January 2013

Japanese Yen: Lower Short-Term, But Higher Longer-Term



Japan is in a recession, and the Japanese yen lost 15% from the highs against the U.S. dollar. The decline should continue this year as well. The potential target could be 104 in the futures prices. However, the longer-term picture supports a new rise of the Japanese yen. The Chinese economy has probably bottomed. 

Sunday, 20 January 2013

Precious Metals: Is Gold Bottoming?


Global inflation failed to meet expectations in 2012, and gold lost almost 9% from its high. Will the precious metal perform better this year?  

Friday, 11 January 2013

EUR/USD: Breakout or Failure?

The euro is rebounding from the trendline of the past six months and is now challenging the key resistance line at 1.3350. A move above 1.3410 can take the price to 1.36. 

Sunday, 6 January 2013

Will The Unemployment Rate Fall to 7% In 2013?

Bureau of Labor Statistics
The US Dollar Index should decline to 77.00/75.00 while the S&P 500 Index can target 1500/1550 this year.

Tuesday, 1 January 2013

Technical analysis: Forex markets long-term

 
The market is up trending. GPB should target higher levels in 2013.