Short Term Trading forex trading links forex trading books market statistics trader values euro and us dollar Shocks Crashing Interest Rates Cycles Since 1860

Sunday, 26 June 2011

Interest Rates Cycles Since 1860


BULL MARKETS

Since 1860, US interest rates has shown the tendency to bottom every 50 years. From lows to highs, the up trend lasted for about 30/35 years. Within this long term bull trends, the market has bottomed every 4-5 years and topped every 3-5 years. The bull move lasted for about 30%-50% from lows to highs. The bearish corrections continued for about 15%-25% from highs to lows.

LONG TERM TREND LOW TO LOW 50 YEARS

1899-1946, 1946-2003

LONG TERM TREND LOW TO HIGH LASTED FOR ABOUT 30/35 YEARS

1899-1932, 1945-1980, 2003-2033(?)

LOW TO LOW WITHIN LONG TERM BULL TREND ABOUT 4-5 YEARS

1950-1954, 1954-1958, 1958-1963, 1963-1967, 1967-1972, 1972-1977, 1977-1982

HIGH TO HIGH WITHIN LONG TERM BULL TREND ABOUT 3-5 YEARS

1948-1953, 1953-1957, 1957-1960, 1960-1966, 1966-1970, 1975-1980, 1980-1982

YIELDS BULL MOVE FROM LOWS TO HIGHS LASTED FOR 30%50%

220-310, 247-366, 312-426, 373-480, 440-699-559-833, 720-1240, 981-1468

YIELDS BEARISH CORRECTIONS FROM TOPS TO BOTTOMS LASTED FOR 15%/20%

313-247, 373-312, 437-373, 480-440, 699-544, 833-720, 1240-981

Written by Angelo Airaghi - www.ProfitsOn.com

The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed, neither the information presented nor any opinion expressed constitute a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any forex, futures or commodity product. Those individuals acting on this information are responsible for their own actions. Forex, futures and commodity trading may not be suitable for all recipients of this report. The risk of loss in trading forex, futures and options can be substantial. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. All recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Please Note: All performance figures and illustrations were obtained using historical back testing on a computer and are not the results of an actual account. No guarantee is inferred that future performance will be like the results shown. Futures, forex and options trading involve risk. There is a risk of loss in futures, forex and options trading.

No comments:

Post a Comment