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Saturday, 12 April 2014

EUR/USD: The Upside Momentum Could be Limited

Technical and fundamental factors seem to support EUR/USD falling to 1.36/1.32 over the medium term. 
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Friday, 28 February 2014

US dollar: Will it Increase until Midyear?

The US will continue to unleash its bond-buying program, while Europe could cut rates again in the coming months. The US dollar might rise against major currencies until the middle of the year.

Wednesday, 29 January 2014

Short-term trading: -- US Dollar Index March contract


There is a divergence between the daily price and the RSI indicator. Seasonal conditions do not support the US dollar in February. A move below 80.10 could target 79.70 provide the price does not rise above 80.70. 

 The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed, neither the information presented nor any opinion expressed constitute a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any forex, futures or commodity product. Those individuals acting on this information are responsible for their own actions. Forex, futures and commodity trading may not be suitable for all recipients of this report. The risk of loss in trading forex, futures and options can be substantial. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. All recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Please Note: All performance figures and illustrations were obtained using historical back testing on a computer and are not the results of an actual account. No guarantee is inferred that future performance will be like the results shown. Futures, forex and options trading involve risk. There is a risk of loss in futures, forex and options trading.

Saturday, 21 December 2013

US Unemployment Rate: Will It Bottom Out in 2014?

us dollar, technical analysis
After the Fed’s decision to start tapering of its asset purchases in January 2014, the U.S. dollar could increase its value against other major currencies.  The study of cycles appears to anticipate the unemployment rate bottoming in 2014 or 2015 at the latest.

Sunday, 24 November 2013

The US Dollar Could Decline Further

During the past weeks, the Federal Reserve has confirmed that employment must improve before changing current monetary policy. Under these conditions, the US dollar should depreciate further and the EUR/USD could challenge 1.38 over the short term.

Friday, 25 October 2013

US Dollar: Rising in November?

Expectations are mounting over the Fed reducing its Treasury program in December, which could cause the US dollar index to appreciate to 81.60 in the short term. Nonetheless, the Fed should keep its monetary policies unchanged until 2014. As a result, any potential dollar appreciation would be short-lived. 

Friday, 4 October 2013

U.S. Stocks: Short-Term Rebound?

The standoff between Republicans and Democrats over “Obamacare” is currently unfolding. However, the real test will occur on October 17, when a decision on whether to raise the debt ceiling will need to be made. In the meantime, U.S. stocks are “oversold” at current levels and could rebound to 1700/1720 in the short term.

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